Brewers Week In Review: July 11 — July 17
The Milwaukee Brewers are trending in the wrong direction entering next week’s All-Star Break. A 2-4 week to cap off the first half of the season marks the second straight frame with that same record — and was negatively highlighted by dropping the last three games of the four-game set in San Francisco. It’s the fourth straight time the team has limped into the All-Star Break, excluding the 2020 season where there was no midsummer classic. This happening for a year or two could just be an anomaly, though now four straight poor performances during this time of year is turning it into a worrisome trend.
First, Craig Counsell’s team lost six in a row during this time in 2018. Then they lost five of their last six in 2019, followed that up by losing six of their last eight in 2021 and now have lost eight of their last 11 contests this time around. A lot is in play here, including injuries and uncharacteristic struggles. But external confidence is waning with the weeks counting down to the trade deadline.
The context from the week needs to be noted. The team isn’t just losing, they’re blowing games after they’re already in hand. Which, all things considered, could be worse.
The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel’s Curt Hogg outlined each of the team’s last six losses and how much of a collapse each performance was.
Brewers last 6 losses have all been tough. One subsequent blow after another.
-Blew 1-0 lead in 8th (peak win exp. 79%)
-Blew 3-0 lead in 7th (92%)
-Blew 4-3 lead in 6th (68%)
-Walk-off 3-run homer (58%)
-Blew 5-2 lead in ninth (97%)
-Give up go-ahead run in 8th on a balk (56%)— Curt Hogg (@CyrtHogg) July 17, 2022
Loss No. 1 was a Josh Hader loss in the 9th (more on that in a bit), loss No. 2 was last Saturday when Counsell left Brandon Woodruff in the game for a few too many pitches, loss No. 3 came thanks to the bullpen allowing 5 runs in 4 innings, loss No. 4 was the walk-off home run off Hader (again), loss No. 5 was one of the more remarkable collapses I’ve ever seen (from Hader) and I don’t know how to explain loss No. 6 when Jandel Gustave allowed the go-ahead run on a balk.
A necessary note: this tweet was written before today’s game, which the Brewers lost 9-5.
Overall, these are not games the team should be expected to lose moving forward unless Josh Hader continues pitching to the 20.25 ERA he has this month. They all appear to be outliers, aside from the fact it’s happened six times in the last two weeks.
Luckily we get a few days to stew on the 3-8 record in the 11 games entering the All-Star Break. Before we return to hoping the team turns a corner as soon as it’s back in action, here is this week’s Brewers Week In Review:
Record: 2-4
Current Standing: 50-43 (1st in NL Central)
The Good: Devin Williams stays untouchable.
Devin Williams has done more than enough during the first half of the season to warrant an All-Star selection. Thankfully, the snub was finally corrected this morning when news broke he would indeed be playing in the game.
Devin Williams is (finally) an all-star. He’ll replace Atlanta’s Max Fried: pic.twitter.com/8WlYvWpk7u
— Todd Rosiak (@Todd_Rosiak) July 17, 2022
His week was completely dominant, an interesting juxtaposition to his counterpart in the back end of the bullpen. The line: 3 appearances, 3 innings, 1 hit, 0 walks, 4 strikeouts, 1 save.
That’s now 26 appearances without allowing an earned run, a streak that has seen him record 24.2 innings and 40 strikeouts, and only allow 8 hits and 8 walks. There were some control concerns when the season began. Those concerns can be written away, as Williams is pitching like he’s the best reliever in baseball.
The Bad: Josh Hader’s multiple collapses
As mentioned earlier, Josh Hader’s production has dropped off a cliff this month.
The line from the week: 3 games, 0-2 record, 1.1 innings, 7 hits, 1 walk, 9 earned runs, 4 home runs allowed, 6.00 WHIP, 60.75 ERA.
The updated line for the month: 5.1 innings, 13 hits, 12 ER, 11 Ks, 3/4 saves, 0-3 record, 20.25 ERA.
It all came to an echoing crescendo on Friday night when Hader entered the game in the 9th with a 5-2 lead. One out and three home runs later, the Giants won 8-5.
Brewers broadcast calls the Giants' big 9th-inning, come-back win against Josh Hader 1/3 #stlcards pic.twitter.com/HQ3XrY1WFr
— VHS (@VanHicklestein) July 16, 2022
A #WALKOFF grand slam caps off the @SFGiants 6-run 9th!
(MLB x @CapitalOne) pic.twitter.com/tzGGNzRMZz
— MLB (@MLB) July 16, 2022
I don’t really know what to say about the stretch as a whole. It seems like hitters are picking up on when the slider is coming, the execution hasn’t been clean and the ball is jumping out of the yard.
I guess the hope is this is one of the more severe outliner stretches we’ve seen from one of the game’s best closers.
MVP:
-Corbin Burnes (1-0, 7.1 IP, 4 hits, 2 R, 1 ER, 3 BB, 10 Ks, 0.95 WHIP, 1.23 ERA)
Stat Of The Week:
Josh Hader is one of just six relievers to ever allow nine runs over two games while recording one or fewer outs.
Here’s a general aggregation of some of the toughest two-game stretches by a reliever ever (all 9+ R, 1 IP or less) sorted by worst WPA.https://t.co/1IzzRbwHQm
— Curt Hogg (@CyrtHogg) July 16, 2022
Video(s) Of The Week:
Congratulations to Devin Williams on being named an All-Star! 🌟
Hear Devin's thoughts after 𝒇𝒊𝒏𝒂𝒍𝒍𝒚 being selected to the All-Star Game. 🔊#ThisIsMyCrew | @SophiaMinnaert pic.twitter.com/ZiJW756GdI
— Bally Sports Wisconsin (@BallySportWI) July 17, 2022
Tweets Of The Week:
From @alysonfooter: “It was the first time in MLB history a team hit three homers in an inning including a walk-off grand slam, according to Stats by STATS.”
More trouble for Josh Hader ➡️ https://t.co/y1t9Umb4AT
— Adam McCalvy (@AdamMcCalvy) July 16, 2022
I've never seen:
1. A manager come out and argue for a rain delay, and get it.
2. A tarp get rolled out and then, oh nevermind, rolled back up again.
And here we are.
— Adam McCalvy (@AdamMcCalvy) July 13, 2022
Devin Williams threw his 24th consecutive scoreless outing tonight to lower his ERA to 1.87. His thoughts on not being selected to the ASG (at least yet)?
"I feel like I'm a top-five reliever in the National League. There's five relievers going. I think I should be one of them."
— Curt Hogg (@CyrtHogg) July 13, 2022
It’s about time!
Devin Williams is officially heading to the MLB All-Star Game. Congrats, @DTrainn_23!#ThisIsMyCrew pic.twitter.com/EUOyp3kUe1
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) July 17, 2022
I’ve watched this 25 times…. It’s not a balk and any umpire who says it is…. Should stop umpiring. #ThisIsMyCrew #brewers #mlb pic.twitter.com/IugdAdmyq7
— Seth McClung (@Seth_3773) July 17, 2022
Brewers last 6 losses have all been tough. One subsequent blow after another.
-Blew 1-0 lead in 8th (peak win exp. 79%)
-Blew 3-0 lead in 7th (92%)
-Blew 4-3 lead in 6th (68%)
-Walk-off 3-run homer (58%)
-Blew 5-2 lead in ninth (97%)
-Give up go-ahead run in 8th on a balk (56%)— Curt Hogg (@CyrtHogg) July 17, 2022
What has been your favorite moment of the first half of the season? #ThisIsMyCrew pic.twitter.com/VVqlOvOy5P
— Bally Sports Wisconsin (@BallySportWI) July 17, 2022
Giants are the most platoon heavy team in the NL, so Counsell tries to pull a fast one by using Ashby as an opener on short rest to lure SF into starting their RH bats. Kapler doesn't fall for it and starts mainly their LH lineup anyway.
— Badgermaniac (@THEbadgermaniac) July 17, 2022
Next Week: All-Star Break, vs. COL